Monthly Archive for January, 2008

A Little Horn-Tooting re: Saddam Hussein and Iraq

Yesterday, CNN reported that, based on interviews with Saddam Hussein after his capture, he did not have any “weapons of mass destruction” before the US invasion, but was just bluffing (” Agent: Saddam was surprised U.S. invaded“).

“For him, it was critical that he was seen as still the strong, defiant Saddam. He thought that (faking having the weapons) would prevent the Iranians from reinvading Iraq,” said Piro.

During the nearly seven months Piro talked to Hussein, the agent hinted to the Iraqi that he answered directly to President Bush, CBS said in a posting on its Web site.

“He told me he initially miscalculated … President Bush’s intentions. He thought the United States would retaliate with the same type of attack as we did in 1998 … a four-day aerial attack,” Piro said. “He survived that one and he was willing to accept that type of attack.”

I was against the invasion of Iraq from the very beginning. The major reason was that I could see no reason why the United States or any other nation should have the right to tell Iraq or any other nation what kind of weapons it could have (nuclear or otherwise), and I still firmly believe that.

Of course, at that point, the main justification for invading Iraq was the supposed “weapons of mass destruction” that Hussein had.

My theory was that Hussein had no such weapons, but he was bluffing and acting like he did because he needed to look powerful. He essentially ruled by fear, like his hero Stalin, and by admitting that he didn’t have the weapons, and/or actually letting UN teams inspect the country looking for them, he would appear less powerful, and risk a revolt. Essentially, he was gambling that we wouldn’t invade and he could save face. Remember, Hussein never claimed he had the weapons outright … he just did things like move equipment around and refused UN inspectors access to certain areas (enought to look suspicious).

I remember quite well discussing this theory with somebody at The Corner in Wake Forest at least a few months before we actually invaded (if you are the person I was discussing this with, please let me know).

As you can see, I was mostly correct. I was wrong about the ultimate motivation (fear of Iran vs. fear of unhappy Iraqis) but I was close.

An Economics Lesson in “Baby Blues”

I rarely read the comic strip “Baby Blues,” but I did notice this one from Friday (or maybe it was Thursday):

baby_blues.gif

Now, what do you suppose the government would do in a situation like this? Somebody would feel sorry for Zoe, and say she wasn’t able to earn a living wage, and Congress would pass legislation that would prevent Hammie from charging less than a dollar for his quarters, or perhaps they would slap a $0.75 tax on quarters purchased from Hammie to protect Zoe.

More seriously, though, this strip shows how competition in the market works to keep prices at a reasonable level.

Quote of the Day (Teddy Roosevelt)

Remind me why we admire this guy, please.

Frankly I don’t know that I should be sorry to see a bit of a spar with Germany. The burning of New York and a few other sea coast cities would be a good object lesson in the need of an adequate system of coast defenses, and I think it would have a good effect on our large German population to force them to an ostentatiously patriotic display of anger against Germany.

Teddy Roosevelt, as quoted in Reassessing the Presidency: The Rise of the Executive State and the Decline of Freedom by John V. Denson. See “Theodore Roosevelt and the Modern Presidency” for an excerpt including the above quote. The entire book is available in PDF form at mises.org.

Day Two Without My Mac

Mouth is dry and parched; tongue sticks to the roof. Feeling dizzy and disoriented. Having hallucinations. Trouble sleeping and bizarre dreams when I do. Probably qualified to be the chairman of the Federal Reserve now.

Chuck Baldwin on Ron Paul & Israel

Thanks to NetNewsWire/NewsGator, I just got finished reading an excellent article about Ron Paul and our nation and its policy towards Israel (”Ron Paul’s Israel Problem“). He points out, quite rightly, that the major stumbling blocks for most Conservative Christians in regards to Ron Paul’s positions are his opposition to the continued occupation of Iraq and his opposition to continued aid for Israel. Baldwin then goes on to argue quite coherently that:

  1. If Israel is God’s chosen nation and/or the Jews are His chosen people, then he can jolly well take care of them without our help,
  2. No matter what you think of Israel and the Jews and how they relate to the doctrine of eschatology (the end times), our “aid” to Israel is hardly that, and
  3. Despite all of our “aid” to Israel, they’ve not always behaved in ways that could be classified as “friendly” towards the United States, so
  4. We’d be well served in thinking seriously about our policy in the Middle East, especially in regards to Israel … and that Ron Paul is really on the right track here.

Let’s start with this:

Unfortunately, many (if not most) of today’s evangelical Christians have bought into the whole neocon warmongering mentality. Somewhere along the way, evangelicals have forgotten the historic Christian understanding of “just war,” not to mention our Savior’s promise of divine blessing upon peacemakers. They have allowed President George W. Bush and his fellow warmongers to hijack the legitimate use of defensive war and turn it into a commitment to aggressive and preemptive war.

If the United States continues on its current path of aggressive, preemptive war, incessant nation-building, empire-building, and globalism, our country will collapse. If history teaches us anything, it teaches us that no super-power can long survive global warfare. The economic, moral, and spiritual strain on the nation would be more than it could long endure. In other words, Bush’s war doctrine has put America on a crash course with disaster, and evangelicals are downright foolish to go along with it.

I can’t improve on that, so let’s move along.

So, what’s this about our aid actually being harmful to Israel? Well, try this:

My dear Christian brethren, let’s get real: America’s policies toward Israel have not been a blessing to her. They have been a curse … For example, America continues to furnish Israel’s enemies with three times more aid and assistance than it does Israel. Three times. Is that being a blessing to Israel? America gives unflinching and magnanimous support to militant Muslim governments such as Saudi Arabia. There is no nation in the Middle East that has harbored, trained, supplied, and supported more terrorists than Saudi Arabia. Is that being a blessing to Israel? In addition, every time an American President wants to meddle in Middle Eastern affairs, he insists that Israel give up land for peace. President Bush is doing that very thing anew and afresh at this very moment. Is that being a blessing to Israel?

Let me assure the reader (if he or she needs assurance) that Israel knows how to defend itself. In fact, Israel has over 300 nuclear weapons. Israel has enough weaponry and nuclear capability to take out any threat to its sovereignty that any Arab nation–or group of Arab nations–could mount against it.

If Iraq was a legitimate threat, Israel could have taken out Baghdad, Saddam Hussein, and his entire army with little difficulty. The same is true right now with Iran. If Iran is a legitimate threat, Israel could launch whatever attack is necessary to defend itself. It should not need Washington’s permission. Israel is a sovereign nation. It should have the right to defend itself as it deems necessary. Frankly, it is none of Washington’s business. The truth is, Israel’s perennial precariousness is a direct result of Washington’s constant interference.

Now … on to his allegations that Israel hasn’t always acted as our friend:

Furthermore, Christians need to understand that Jewish interests are not always harmonious with the interests of Christianity or the interests of the United States. Israel certainly did not act in a friendly fashion when it attacked the Navy intelligence ship, the USS Liberty, in 1967. That attack was the second deadliest against a U.S. vessel since the end of World War II. The attack also marked the single greatest loss of life by the U.S. intelligence community. 34 U.S. servicemen were killed and 173 were wounded in that attack. In addition, Israel is often found to be engaged in espionage within the United States. Should America turn a blind eye to such activities? Of course not.

I’ll be perfectly honest with you, I had absolutely no idea what he was talking about. We sure didn’t cover this in history class in school (no surprise, since the ‘official’ history taught in public schools often bears about as much resemblance to the real deal as I do to Greta Garbo). I checked out the Wikipedia article on the USS Liberty incident, and here’s what I found:

The USS Liberty, an intelligence-gathering ship, was poking around the Sinai peninsula during the Six-Day War in 1967 (I know, you’re shocked that we would even be hanging out over there), and was attacked by Israeli fighters and torpedo boats. The official Israeli and American position is that the attack was an accident, and that Israeli forces mistook the ship for an Egyptian vessel (that was only half the size of the Liberty). But …

These conclusions have been challenged from several fronts, most notably by an organization of Liberty survivors, as well as by some key former high-ranking officials who were in office at the time in the United States government, including the Secretary of State, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the Director of the NSA, and the senior legal counsel to the U.S. Navy Court of Inquiry into the incident.

Baldwin obviously believes that Israel deliberately targeted the Liberty. After reading the article, I’m not convinced. I lean towards the attack being accidental, but I’m definitely not 100% convinced.

Regardless of whether Baldwin’s allegations concerning Israel’s attitude toward the United States are true or not, his other points still stand. Israel is hardly helpless. During the Six-Day War, they cleaned the clocks of Egypt, Jordan, and Syria (who were being aided by Iraq, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait). Does that sound helpless to you? Is a nation that has 300 nuclear weapons … enough to probably wipe every other Middle Eastern and North African nation off the map … helpless? Israel does not need our help.

Baldwin is right. It’s time for Evangelical Christians to consider the wisdom of Ron Paul’s position on American aid to Israel.

Why I Love NetNewsWire

I’ve been using NetNewsWire as my RSS feed reader for a while … maybe a year or more. Prior to that I’d tried Vienna and another reader (NewsFire, I think). Vienna was OK, and it was free, but then they changed the interface and it got fugly fast, and since I’m a type-A personality and can’t stand applications with ugly interfaces, I bailed (I’ve dropped iGTD in favor of the much-cooler Things for the same reason … I loved it at first, but then the author went tab-crazy, and it looks like a bad dream.). NewsFire was better … but I never could get into it.

So today, as a result of my hard drive failure on my Mac, I’m finding myself having to work in a Windows world. Living without the RSS reader has been interesting. If I hadn’t spent the whole day getting thisyer Vista machine up to speed so I could use it, I would have been more productive, probably. But, on the other hand, I do get ideas for what to blog about from the ninety-six feeds I subscribe to now. Plus, I miss some of the specialty news sources I subscribe to.

A few minutes ago, I remembered something … when I set up NetNewsWire, I had to register for an account at NewsGator. Plus, every time I shut it down it pops up some message to the tune of “We’re saving changes to your NewsGator account …”

Hmmm.

Maybe there is a way I can read my feeds online?

Why yes there is! Sweet!

So now I’ve got my RSS feeds back. This will keep me busy for the next few days while I’m waiting for my new and improved 7200 RPM laptop drive to arrive …

I loved NetNewsWire yesterday. Now I love it even more. If you’re in the market for a RSS reader for the Mac, NetNewsWire is the hot shizzle. Plus, it’s free now, so you don’t have to pay for it like I did … not that it bothers me at all that I paid for it an it’s now free … in fact, I think it’s fantastic!

newsgator_beta.jpg

Cats … (More Commentary)

So, I’m sitting in the office, trying to catch up on work. This is not easy when you have to re-adjust yourself to working with Windows Vista instead of Mac OS X, and there aren’t even good Windows equivalents of some of the programs you use (or at least you haven’t had eight years to try different programs out and find ones you like).

Then from the outside the office door …

Soren the Cat: (urgently) mrrrow!
mrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrow!!!!
[scratch scratch scratch scratch scratch]
(more urgently) meeeeeeeeeeeeeeOWWWWWWWW!!!!!!
[both paws (!!!) are under the door scratching]

I get up and open the door.

Their stands my cat, not even acknowledging my existence. He looks around at one wall, then another. He sits down, and licks his paw. He looks around some more (just not in my direction or in the direction of the door), gets up, wanders a few steps away from the door. He sits again, scratches himself, and then licks himself some more.

After about forty-five seconds of this he looks around in the direction of the door, and looks up as if he just realized the door was open. He gives me a look that says “Oh my! The door is open! What a surprise! Maybe I’ll come in, even though the thought had never crossed my mind previously!” and ambles in at a very slow pace.

Just amazing.

Backups, Backups, Backups

Right now, I’ve very, very, very glad that I got burned a few years back by not backing up my data and have been doing so diligently in the years since.

When I was in college, I had a catastrophic hard drive crash and pretty much lost everything. That taught me a lesson. I started by backing up to floppies, and soon moved to CD-ROMs when they are more affordable.

Now that I’ve got a home office and a business, I keep the majority of my business stuff backed up to a NAS (network attached storage) device in the office, which is backed up to an external USB hard drive. 95% of actual project code is saved to a versioning server (which lets me go back and see previous revisions of code) down at the datacenter, which of course has mirrored drives, and is backed up nightly to yet another machine, and every so often (in theory, weekly) I take copies of those backups to my bank vault.

Oh, and I still back up stuff to DVD-ROM every now and then.

All of this has paid off as of last night, when the hard drive in my laptop started complaining about “invalid node structures” and “I/O errors.” Not good.

I can still get data off of the drive … most of it, I think. So, I’m busy cloning the drive right now (to yet another external hard drive) to be sure that I have a really good idea of what software I had on there and have as good of a copy as I can of my preferences, etc. Then I’ll replace the hard drive over the weekend and get back up and running.

In any case, I’m still able to work this morning. However, I am, unfortunately, remined of one thing I didn’t have a backup of.

The laptop itself.

I’m a Mac user, and right now I’m having to use the Vista machine I keep in the office so I can test things on Windows, etc. Ick.

It’s not all that bad, really. It could be Windows ME.

The only real down side to this is that I can’t work in Photoshop/Illustrator/Flash right now since I only have those for the Mac so far (I need to rectify that, or have a spare Mac on hand), and that this is going to slow me down during a period where I’m already behind on work.

Oh, and congratulations to me! This is my 400th blog post! Whee!

Kucinich is Out …

Third Party Watch is reporting that Kucinich is dropping out of the race tomorrow (”Kucinich Campaign KIA“).

I’m disappointed, because while there probably far more points that I disagree with Kucinich on than points where we agree, I think he’s probably one of the most honest politicians the Democratic party has these days.

Interview with “Pearls Before Swine” cartoonist Stephan Pastis

Yesterday evening, Bob Andelman of Mr. Media left a comment on a previous post from earlier in the week where I fawned over Sunday’s “PBS” strip, and pointed me in the direction of an interview he’d done with Stephan Pastis just last week.

If you’re a “Pearls Before Swine” fan, I highly recommend you check the interview out. I’d not previously read/heard an interview with Pastis, so I learned quite a bit. For instance, he’s friends with Darby Conley (”Get Fuzzy”).

In one really interesting segment, he discusses balancing some of the newer elements of the strip (the crocs) with the older/original elements (Pig and Rat). I only discovered “PBS” a little over a year or two ago, so I don’t remember the strip in its pre-croc days … but I personally like pretty much every element of the strip. I love the crocs, but I like plain ol’ Rat and Pig strips too.

Stephan Pastis, “Pearls Before Swine” cartoonist: Mr. Media Interview

(The interview is divided up into three parts … be sure you don’t miss the last two!)

P.S. Be sure to check out some of the other interviews on the site … I see a few others I need to take the time to read, including interviews with Ray Billingsley (”Curtis”) and Larry Thomas (the “Soup Nazi” from Seinfeld).