Monthly Archive for December, 2007

Robert Murphy Responds to David Frums Uninformed Ramblings About the Gold Standard

Earlier today, I ran across an excellent article (”David Frum on the Gold Standard“) on the Mises Institute’s web site written by Robert Murphy. In it, he responds to some of David Frum’s baseless accusations (no pun intended) that he’s recently aimed at the gold standard.

Mind you, I’d prefer to see people just trade ounces of gold or silver rather than try to peg the dollar at a particular weight in gold, but the gold standard would be a serious improvement over the mess we’ve got now. To borrow one of Murphy’s quotes from the latter part of the article (wherein he modifies a Frum quote and skewers him with great aplomb):

[W]hy giving politicians of all people access to a printing press [for money] should be regarded as an improvement by anyone, I cannot understand.

Murphy quite effectively eviscerates Frum’s feeble arguments that the gold standard didn’t adequately prevent recessions by not only showing data that demonstrate that his contention isn’t true, but also argues (quite correctly, in my opinion) that the recessions that did happen while the US was on the gold standard were actually the result of government meddling in the first place:

Let’s return to Frum’s central point, namely that the gold standard makes the economy inflexible and volatile. According to Frum, recessions have been “fewer and shallower” since abandoning the link to gold.


There are several responses to this (typical) objection to gold. First, it completely ignores the causes of the “shocks” to the economy in the first place. Recessions are not an inherent feature of laissez-faire markets, but, on the contrary, are fostered by government intervention in the banking sector. Even during the 19th century, federal and state governments routinely relieved American banks of their contractual obligations — “bank holidays” and other privileges allowed banks to get away with issuing more credit than would have occurred if property rights were enforced. If government had kept its hands off and let the dreaded bank runs really run their course every time they occurred, it would have kept the bankers much more honest in the long run. Government-sponsored bailouts only lead to reckless lending.

I suspect that if the government provided a way for common people to spend enormous sums of money they didn’t have, and somehow not pay it back without any serious consequences, they’d take it.

Oh yeah, we already have that. It’s called bankruptcy.

Murphy then takes things a step further and argues (again, correctly in my opinion) that the Federal Reserve actually caused the Great Depression rather than preventing it:

In truth, the Great Depression can’t be blamed on any single cause. As a subscriber to the Misesian theory of the boom-bust cycle, I happen to believe that the Federal Reserve — which was created precisely to smooth out macroeconomic growth just as Frum wants — created an artificial boom in the 1920s by issuing unbacked bank credit. Then, the unimaginably horrible policies of Hoover and then FDR in response to the inevitable contraction and readjustment just prolonged the misery. (Just look at this timeline to see what these two clowns did with tax rates during the greatest economic calamity in US history — and then you’ll understand exactly why we look to these years as the greatest economic calamity in US history.)

Let me tell you, I have a great deal of respect for anybody who is willing to call Hoover and FDR clowns …

And to think I used to buy into the view that Hoover was right and FDR mucked things up.

This seems to be an appropriate time to wrap things up with another quote from Calvin Coolidge, who I’ve already discussed this week:

[F]or six years that man [Hoover] has given me unsolicited advice—all of it bad.

He might have been called “Silent Cal”, but he sure had a way with words … when he spoke, every one counted.

Year-End Business Review

Well, the last workday of 2007 is over (and boy was it a doozy … I got nothing of note accomplished, and wasted approximately two hours of my day on plumbing repairs). I can now say definitively that this has been an amazingly successful year for my business. My gross income this year was approximately 2.1x what it was in 2006. My net income was about 1.6x what it was in 2006.

The increase in expenses this year comes from having begun to spend considerably more on hosting fees and equipment leases and also spending a good deal paying my brother for contract work.

My overall growth has been slow but steady over the year, and I expect it to get slightly better as my brother, who started doing contract work for me mid-year, learns more about programming and transitions to a part-time employee (and hopefully then becomes full-time by the end of the year).

As far as the hosting goes, I now have four leased Dell servers and a full quarter rack leased at Airnet in downtown Chattanooga (the folks at Airnet have been nothing short of wonderful in my dealings with them over the last nine months; if you need colocation services in town, I highly recommend them), and I suspect I may add a fifth and maybe even sixth server in the next three months.

I’ve developed my (open source, BSD-licensed) SwitchYard (formerly IntuiSite) PHP web application framework into something that I’m thoroughly proud of, and if I ever find the time I’m going to wrap up some basic documentation for it. I’ve released a seminal improved set of SOAP classes for REALbasic. I’m on the verge of releasing some additional minor open source PHP libraries as well.

I’ve spent more time than I care to admit at work trying to keep up, but I wouldn’t trade it for the world. The decision to launch my own business has been without a doubt the best and most rewarding decision I’ve made career-wise. I have absolutely no intention of ever being a simple employee again.

Now for next year … my goals for 2008 are to finish paying off all the business-related debt I accumulated during my first 1.5 years of being self-employed by mid-year, have my brother be full-time (and a partner in the business) by mid-year, hire another programmer, finish one major service-oriented project I’ve been working on for the better part of two years, and find an office outside of my home.

Oh yeah … and finally retire the four-year-old PowerBook that has been my mainstay for so long in favor of something more modern. :-)

US Government: I’m Watching You

As of this evening, I’ve started using GovTrack.us to monitor the actions of my representatives (Senators Bob Corker and Lamar Alexander and Congressman Zach Wamp), as well as any bills that I discover that happen to interest me. Thus far, I’ve only added a few recent interesting bills introduced by Ron Paul, but my goal is to add others as well as they show up in the news.

May it never be said of me that I sat idly and paid no attention to what was going on up in DC!

To see what I’m tracking at any given time, click on the “US Government In Action” tab in the header menu.

One of the more interesting things I came across while browsing bills introduced by Ron Paul was HR 3835: “To restore the Constitution’s checks and balances and protections against government abuses as envisioned by the Founding Fathers.”

SECTION 1. SHORT TITLE.

This Act may be cited as the `American Freedom Agenda Act of 2007′.

That’s good to know, because I’d never be able to remember the official name.

This bill addresses a wide range of subjects:

  1. Military Commission, Enemy Combatants, and Habeas Corpus
  2. Torture or Coerced Confessions
  3. Intelligence Gathering
  4. Presidential Signing Statements
  5. Kidnapping, Detentions, and Torture Abroad
  6. A Journalist Exception to Espionage Act
  7. Use Of Secret Evidence To Make Foreign Terrorist Designations

All in all, it’s chock-full of good stuff. Now to see if it ever makes it out of any of the committees it’s been referred to …

Further Clarification on the Ron Paul/FOX Forum Mess [UPDATED]

Fergus Cullen, Chairman of the New Hampshire GOP has released a statement on the matter:

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Date: December 31, 2007

From: Fergus Cullen, Chairman, New Hampshire Republican Party

NH REPUBLICANS: DON’T LIMIT DEBATE PARTICIPANTS

CONCORD – New Hampshire Republican Party Chairman Fergus Cullen releases the following statement regarding primary weekend debates:

“Limiting the number of candidates who are invited to participate in debates is not consistent with the tradition of the first in the nation primary. The level playing field requires that all serious candidates be given an equal opportunity to participate – not just a select few determined by the media prior to any votes being cast.”

“Therefore, the New Hampshire Republican Party calls upon all media organizations planning pre-primary debates or forums for both parties to include all recognized major candidates in their events.”

“The New Hampshire Republican Party has notified FOX News of our position, and we are in ongoing discussions with FOX News about having as many candidates as possible participate in the forum scheduled for January 6.”

Fergus Cullen
Chairman, New Hampshire Republican Party

I wish they’d make up their mind and call it either a forum or a debate, instead of switching terminology …

Hat Tip: The Daily Paul

Note: Since I initially posted this, I’ve posted the following additional articles about the FOX News exclusion, as well as the ABC News/WMUR exclusions:

More Debate Exclusion in New Hampshire
New Hampshire Debate Exclusion Update & My Open Letter to WMUR and ABC News
Senator John Sununu (R-NH) Weighs in on FOX Forum/ABC Debate Exclusions

Ron Paul & the FOX News Forum Exclusion - Part III [UPDATED]

I feel very confident at this point that the news, as originally reported, that Ron Paul has been excluded from the upcoming “roundtable forum” in New Hampshire on January 6 is correct.

The campaign has released a second, more detailed press release that indicates that this is their belief.

Furthermore, we have the following video captured from a FOX affiliate station. While it’s not “from the horses mouth” so to speak, it seems to lend a good bit of credibility to the charge.

The question remains … why is Ron Paul being excluded? If the argument is that he’s not polling as well as the others, the fact that Fred Thompson has been invited (and has confirmed his participation) derails this argument very quickly. As I mentioned in my initial post, in the last round of polling in New Hampshire, Ron Paul polled better than Thompson in every poll (sometimes leading by as much as 5 points), save one where he tied Thompson.

But … even the polling bit is disingenous, in my opinion. Why should the media not give equal time to all candidates in the race for a particular party? I know and understand that they are private corporations, and they can make their own choices, but I believe it is in the best interest of the public to be exposed to the views of all the candidates. So, with that in mind, I also ask … why are Duncan Hunter and Alan Keyes also being excluded?

Note: Since I initially posted this, I’ve posted the following additional articles about the FOX News exclusion, as well as the ABC News/WMUR exclusions:

Further Clarification on the Ron Paul/FOX Forum Mess
More Debate Exclusion in New Hampshire
New Hampshire Debate Exclusion Update & My Open Letter to WMUR and ABC News
Senator John Sununu (R-NH) Weighs in on FOX Forum/ABC Debate Exclusions

More on US Meddling in Pakistan

On the heels of my earlier post about the mixed legacy of Benazir Bhutto and the problems caused by our government’s meddling in the affairs of Pakistan, I ran across another post addressing the problems (”Ron Paul Is Correct About Pakistan” by David T. Beito and Scott Horton).

Beito and Horton write:

This “wisdom” of interference is so conventional that CNN’s Wolf Blitzer expressed shock when Republican candidate Rep. Ron Paul of Texas said that the tragedy proved his case for nonintervention in the affairs of other nations. We should not, Paul said, either subsidize or work to undermine other governments because such policies invariably only empower our enemies.

But why should Blitzer have been shocked?

Benazir Bhutto herself thought this was so. In one of her last interviews, she told Parade magazine, “[The U.S.] policy of supporting dictatorship is breaking up my country. I now think al Qaeda can be marching on Islamabad in two to four years.”

They further argue that by continuing to interfere, we actually play into their hands (as I’ve argued myself in the past):

Terrorism is a tactic adopted by weak actors. Having limited resources with which to wage war, groups like al Qaeda resort to a sort of foreign affairs judo: using the enemy’s power against itself – in this case, us. The action for them is in the reaction. Al Qaeda’s strategy is to recreate the old Afghan jihad against the USSR: hit the U.S. and our allies hard in order to provoke invasion and occupation to bleed our treasury and military dry. They celebrate our occupations of Afghanistan and Iraq as steps towards our eventual total withdrawal from the region.

Even if we don’t invade Pakistan but merely meddle in the government, we still provide something for Al Qaeda to appeal to when recruiting.

In the mean time, we now have reports that the Al Qaeda fellow blamed for the killing denies he had anything to do with it. Since we were given three contradictory reports of what exactly killed Bhutto (gunshot, shrapnel, or finally a blow to the skull) and video evidence seems to rule out the latter “official” version from the government, it doesn’t surprise me that there’s confusion on this point too.

Ron Paul is the ONLY Candidate to Fill All Delegate Positions in Tenneessee

Sunday afternoon, I received an email from one of the local Ron Paul Meetup coordinators. According to the campaign’s state coordinator, Ron Paul is the only Republican candidate who filled all of the delegate positions in Tennessee. In all nine districts in TN he has at least three delegates, the full amount of at-large delegates overall, and more than enough alternative delegates.

Each candidate should have three delegates per district, and a minimum of twelve at-large delegates, for a total of thirty-nine.

Of the other candidates, Fred Thompson did the best; he’s only short two delegates in one district.

Mitt Romney has the three delegates for each district, but is short three at-large delegates.

Mike Huckabee has no delegates in two districts, and only two in two other districts (and is thus short eight total).

John McCain has eleven delegates total.

Rudy Giuliani, Tom Tancredo, and Duncan Hunter have no delegates in Tennessee at all.

I’m not entirely clear on what this means for the other candidates, however. It would appear that candidates like Giuliani will appear on the ballot in all districts in the state, regardless of whether they have any delegates or not, since they’ve already qualified based on the ballot access procedures and are listed on the certified candidate list by the Secretary of State.

One way or the other, what is clear is that there are thirteen “superdelegates” who are uncommitted to any candidate who will be sent to the GOP convention from Tennessee, and they can vote for whoever they choose. From the Delegate Election Procedures document on the TN GOP’s web site:

The ballot reflects the names of the presidential candidates a second time only to identify individual delegate candidates committed to the particular candidate. On this part of the ballot, the ballot shall clearly indicate that each voter votes for individual delegate candidates. By the same token, the ballot in each congressional district shall list only those delegate candidates seeking election as a delegate from that district and any at-large delegates. TCA §2-13-311.

In each party’s primary, the voter may cast one (1) vote for his or her preference for candidate for president or for the uncommitted designation. However, TCA §2-13-312 permits the voter to vote for as many delegate candidates as there are to be delegates elected from that congressional district. According to the number allocated for any presidential candidate, the delegate candidate(s) receiving the most votes shall be certified as the delegates to their parties’ national conventions. TCA §2-13-315.

I looked at the sections of the Tennessee Annotated Code (sorry, you’ll have to find the individual sections because I couldn’t figure out how to easily link to them) referenced above (and some others) but I’m still a bit fuzzy:

2-13-312. Number of votes. —

Each voter of the political parties shall cast one (1) vote for such voter’s preference for candidate for president or for the uncommitted designation and shall vote for as many delegate-candidates as there are to be delegates from such congressional district.

That’s all well and good, but 2-13-311 (2) states

(A) Within the vertical columns immediately following and below the entire presidential preference listing for that primary, the names of the presidential candidates shall again appear in vertical columns in alphabetical order according to their surnames. Immediately beneath each presidential candidate’s name, the names of delegate-candidates who are committed to that particular presidential candidate in accordance with §§ 2-13-307, 2-13-308(2), and 2-13-309(a), shall appear vertically in alphabetical order according to their surnames. The “Uncommitted” designation shall appear with an alphabetical vertical listing of those uncommitted delegate-candidates pledged to the last listed presidential candidate.

(B) It is expressly understood and provided that the appearance of presidential candidates’ names as provided in this subdivision (2) is only for the purpose of identifying individual delegate-candidates committed to particular presidential candidates. The ballot shall clearly indicate that each voter is to vote individually for delegate-candidates.

So, the vote cast for the voter’s preference for candidate for president (as allowed in 2-13-312) doesn’t actually mean anything?

Moving right along …

2-13-313. Allocation of elected delegates. —

Delegates elected from a congressional district shall be allocated among the presidential candidates and the uncommitted designation as proportionally as is mathematically possible to the number of votes received in the presidential preference election within such congressional district. If the votes received by a presidential candidate in any congressional district are less than fifteen percent (15%) of the votes cast in such district, no delegates shall be allocated to such candidate and such votes of less than fifteen percent (15%) shall be considered as votes for the uncommitted designation.

OK, so are the delegates elected based on the votes cast for the delegates, or based on the votes cast for the preferred presidential candidate?

2-13-316. Vacancies in delegation. —

Vacancies in the delegation to the national nominating convention of a political party shall be filled in accordance with the rules of the respective party.

Perhaps this means that in a situation where a majority of voters cast their preference votes for Giuliani, but no delegates were available for Giuliani in their district, the GOP would appoint them? Or does it mean that the GOP will appoint delegates for Giuliani, since the Secretary of State has already put him on the ballot?

2-13-317. Binding effect of presidential primary. —

The results of the preferential presidential primary shall be binding on the delegates to the national conventions as provided in this section. The delegates to the national conventions shall be bound by the results of the preferential presidential primary for the first two (2) ballots and shall vote for the candidate to whom they are pledged as provided in § 2-13-307. The delegates shall thereafter be bound to support such candidate so long as the candidate, not to exceed two (2) ballots, has twenty percent (20%) of the total convention vote or until such time the candidate of their party releases them from the results of the presidential preference primary.

So, essentially any (committed) delegate is bound to their candidate until the candidate is doing really poorly, and then they can vote for any candidate they choose. This definitely prevents any committed delegates from Tennessee from voting for Giuliani in the first phases of the convention balloting process.

After reading over this stuff several times, I’m still not clear on what happens with a candidate who has no delegates in the state, but receives more than 15% of the vote in any one district. I would suspect, though, that it’s unlikely that any candidate who was unable to have any substantial number of delegates appear on the ballot across the state is unlikely to do well in the state, though that is far from being an absolute.

When I was in high school, there was a very intelligent older lady who used to come in the McDonald’s where I worked, and I we had many intellectual conversations about all sorts of things over the years. She told me time and time again that I ought to be a lawyer. Any time I spend any amount of time looking at legalese like this, though, I thank my lucky stars I didn’t become one.

Benazir Bhutto’s Mixed Legacy and US Intervention in Pakistan

William Dalrymple of Guardian Unlimited has offered his own view of Pakistan’s late former prime minister Bhutto, based on his personal encounters.

For the Americans, what Benazir Bhutto wasn’t was possibly more attractive even than what she was. She wasn’t a religious fundamentalist, she didn’t have a beard, she didn’t organise rallies where everyone shouts: ‘Death to America’ and she didn’t issue fatwas against Booker-winning authors, even though Salman Rushdie ridiculed her as the Virgin Ironpants in his novel Shame. However, the very reasons that made the West love Benazir Bhutto are the same that gave many Pakistanis second thoughts. Her English might have been fluent, but you couldn’t say the same about her Urdu which she spoke like a well-groomed foreigner: fluently, but ungrammatically. Her Sindhi was even worse; apart from a few imperatives, she was completely at sea.

In his opinion, these factors plus Bhutto’s record of corruption, killings, and torture during her first term in office are on of the very reasons why extremist Islam is experiencing a resurgence in Pakistan at this time. Dalrymple concludes that

Benazir Bhutto was a courageous, secular and liberal woman. But sadness at the demise of this courageous fighter should not mask the fact that as a pro-Western feudal leader who did little for the poor, she was as much a central part of Pakistan’s problems as the solution to them.

There seems to be good evidence that Al Qaeda and the Taliban were behind the killing. Al Qaeda has essentially said they “terminated” Bhutto because of her opposition to their agenda … one of the reasons the United States government supported her in the first place.

Yet there is evidence that our attempts to fight Al Qaeda and the Taliban through the Pakistani government are failures. Government officials have admitted they believe that money given to Pakistan for that purpose has actually been used to finance weapon systems to counter India. Ooops.

And this is all at the hands of a fellow who has been our “ally” … Pervez Musharraf.

So, we’re at least 0 and 2 here. We’ve struck out with Bhutto and Musharraf. Anybody think we’ll do any better with our next attempt to coerce the government of Pakistan into doing what we want?

Calvin Coolidge on Government Intervention

Calvin Coolidge has long been one of my favorite presidents, based partially on the (possibly mythical) story wherein a dinner guest at the White House informed him that she’d made a bet that she could get him to say more than two words during the meal, to which he responded “You lose.”

Since I’m the sort of person who spends more time listening to other folks than talking in a conversation, I can appreciate a fellow who earned the nickname “Silent Cal.”

I also remember reading somewhere (though I can’t remember where) that Coolidge served as president out of a sense of duty, rather than having made it his goal to get to that position. I like that attitude. It’s much better than certain other candidates for the office that are now on their second attempt, and seem to have gone on the campaign trail immediately after being elected to the House of Representatives … such as one gentleman from my home state of North Carolina, whose name I won’t mention (but I will say he talks a lot about “two Americas”).

Anyway … here is a favorite from ol’ Silent Cal:

Perhaps one of the most important accomplishments of my administration has been minding my own business. Government shouldn’t play a part in everyday life. Jefferson said that the people should be left to manage their own affairs. His opposition will bear careful analysis, and the country could stand a good deal more of its application. The trouble with us is we talk about Jefferson, but we do not follow him. In this theory that the people should manage their government, and not be managed by it, he was everlastingly right.

Ron Paul NOT Excluded After All? [UPDATED]

ADDENDUM: Since I posted this, I’ve received even more information indicating that the Nolan Chart article is wrong. So, I’m sticking to my guns about Ron Paul really being excluded, and I’m not posting any more about it until more definitive information becomes available from the campaign, the NH GOP, or FOX News.

Since I posted the first time about Ron Paul’s apparent exclusion from the NH Republican Party/FOX News forum this coming week, I’ve found more information.

Specifically, it is being reported that the debate in question was cancelled weeks ago, according to William Westmiller at Nolan Chart.

Thus far, the Ron Paul 2008 site hasn’t posted an update, but I’m hopeful that they will soon.

The only thing I’m confused about … is that in all the articles posted on The Daily Paul about this fiasco, several indicate direct communication with the NH Republican Party (here’s an example). I can’t figure out why they didn’t just tell folks that the event in question was cancelled. Surely they knew. If they’d just given folks that information immediately, it could have stopped this whole mess. As a result, I’m going to withhold judgement about the veracity of the Nolan Chart article linked to above until there is a satisfactory answer to that question.

Hat Tip: Turn Left At The Adult Bookstore

Note: Since I initially posted this, I’ve posted the following additional articles about the FOX News exclusion, as well as the ABC News/WMUR exclusions:

Ron Paul & the FOX News Forum Exclusion - Part III
Further Clarification on the Ron Paul/FOX Forum Mess
More Debate Exclusion in New Hampshire
New Hampshire Debate Exclusion Update & My Open Letter to WMUR and ABC News
Senator John Sununu (R-NH) Weighs in on FOX Forum/ABC Debate Exclusions